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2024-12-13 22:55:57

The first message, today, the morning market in call auction opened 2.58% higher, which is more common in the historical market. A-shares have opened more than 230 times since 1990, and the increase of 2%-3% has dropped to 55%. If it is more than 4% higher than that on November 8, the winning rate is less than 50%.There are two evolution processes in my forecast of the market outlook:My thinking is that the current market does not have the characteristics of ending the rally. Although the A50 futures index fell more than 3%, the intraday index of A shares did not turn green.


What does it mean to accelerate the decline in late trading?1. The market covered the gap on Wednesday and supported at 3400 points. The rest of this week fluctuated upward. After the market walked out of the day trip, the irrational rise today, including the differences after the high opening and the fall, was digested in the remaining days, and the index rose above 3500 points in the later period.However, today's high opening and low going do not belong to the current round at 3,227 points, and the upward trend has ushered in an inflection point. After all, yesterday's good news will not affect A shares overnight.


The high opening and low going of the index are nothing more than the T+1 trading mechanism, quantitative funds, poor short-term market trends and other reasons, resulting in a high probability of the stock market opening after news stimulation and low going due to emotional influence.My thinking is that the current market does not have the characteristics of ending the rally. Although the A50 futures index fell more than 3%, the intraday index of A shares did not turn green.However, the index itself belongs to the upward trend of shock. After the excessive rise increases the selling, although the short-term market has fallen back, it is difficult to change the upward pattern of shock.

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